Insights - Understanding the next bear market

Updated: Mar 1

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We provide insight and information regarding the key indicators that signal a major stock market decline and a possible recession.

Since August 2016, we have focused on understanding the extent to which a major stock market decline may take off. In August 2016, our forecast was that we would begin to see signals for a potential Bear market at the end of 2018 to the beginning of 2019. We have since informed our customers, through our analyzes, of an increased risk of a recession sometime between 2019 -2021.

We believe that the major downturn has not yet taken off, but we can see that market turmoil has increased and will become increasingly evident the further into 2019 we will be. The upcoming crisis we have chosen to call "the All Inclusive Crisis". For a long time we have studied the variables that we consider to be the most important indicators and which strengthen our view of the future stock market decline and possibly a subsequent recession.

In a series of publications, we will have a more technical perspective while subsequent publications will address more fundamental factors.